Mini-course 6 of 6

IFRS 17: liability for incurred claims

Mexican insurers that report to international groups calculate the IFRS 17 liability for incurred claims in addition to the regulatory reserve. The triangle techniques are the same; discounting, the risk measure and the disclosures change.

25 min
Estimated time
4
Lessons
5
Questions
ObjectivesLessonsWorked exampleSelf-assessmentReadings
01

Objectives

By the end of this mini-course you will be able to:

  • Locate the liability for incurred claims (LIC) within the carrying amount of a group of contracts.
  • Build the LIC from its three components: expected cash flows, discounting and the risk adjustment for non-financial risk.
  • Apply the premium allocation approach (PAA) discounting exemption.
  • Know the confidence level and claims development disclosures, and compare them with the CNSF framework.
02

Lessons

Lesson 1

Where the LIC sits

IFRS 17 splits the carrying amount of a group of contracts into two parts (paragraph 40): the liability for remaining coverage, which relates to future service and includes the contractual service margin, and the liability for incurred claims, made up of the fulfilment cash flows related to past service.

The LIC has no contractual service margin: unearned profit always belongs to remaining coverage. That is why, for a reserving actuary, the LIC is familiar ground: triangles, IBNR methods and variability.

Lesson 2

Fulfilment cash flows: estimate, discount and risk

Cash flows are estimated without bias, as the expected value (probability-weighted mean) of the full range of possible outcomes (paragraph 33). They are adjusted for the time value of money and financial risks (paragraph 36), and a risk adjustment for non-financial risk is added: the compensation the entity requires for bearing the uncertainty about the amount and timing of cash flows that arises from non-financial risk (paragraph 37).

\[LIC=\underbrace{PV(\text{expected cash flows})}_{\text{paras. 33 and 36}}+\underbrace{RA}_{\text{para. 37}}\]

Under the premium allocation approach (PAA), the LIC is measured the same way, with fulfilment cash flows, but the entity is not required to discount cash flows expected to be paid in one year or less from the date the claims are incurred (paragraph 59(b)).

Lesson 3

The risk adjustment and its confidence level

IFRS 17 does not prescribe a technique for the risk adjustment: a confidence level (a percentile of the cash flow distribution), cost of capital or another technique can be used. What it does require is disclosure of the confidence level used; if another technique is used, the entity discloses the technique and the confidence level corresponding to its result (paragraph 119).

That disclosure makes entities using different techniques comparable. The bootstrap percentiles from mini-course 4 are a direct way to obtain it. Unlike the CNSF risk margin, whose 10% rate is the same for every insurer, the risk adjustment reflects each entity's own view of risk.

Lesson 4

Claims development disclosure

Paragraph 130 requires comparing actual claims with previous estimates of the undiscounted amount, that is, publishing a development triangle. It starts with the period of the earliest material claim still subject to uncertainty, without having to go back more than 10 years, and does not apply to claims whose uncertainty is typically resolved within one year. It must be reconciled to the carrying amount.

As transition relief, paragraph C28 allows an entity not to disclose previously unpublished information about claims development that occurred more than five years before the end of the first annual period of application, provided it discloses that fact. IFRS 17 is effective for annual periods beginning on or after January 1, 2023.

03

Worked example

We reuse the reserve from mini-course 5: undiscounted cash flows of 3,339.9 million and a present value of 2,881.8. For the risk adjustment we use the mini-course 4 bootstrap: the 75th percentile exceeds the mean by 2.73%. We apply that ratio to the present value as an approximation.

ComponentMillions of pesos
Expected future cash flows, undiscounted3,339.9
Effect of discounting-458.1
Present value of cash flows2,881.8
Risk adjustment for non-financial risk (75% confidence)78.8
Liability for incurred claims2,960.6
Reference: CNSF reserve from mini-course 52,954.6
  1. Risk adjustment = 2.73% × 2,881.8 = 78.8 million, at a 75% confidence level that the entity would disclose under paragraph 119.
  2. LIC = 2,881.8 + 78.8 = 2,960.6 million. The regulatory reserve in mini-course 5 was 2,954.6: the difference comes from how risk is measured, not from the central estimate.
  3. If almost all claims in this line were paid within a year and the group were measured under the PAA, the entity could skip discounting; here the payment pattern runs four years, so discounting matters.

Teaching simplification: the bootstrap percentile was computed on undiscounted cash flows without a tail; in practice the distribution is simulated on discounted cash flows, includes the tail and is calibrated at the level of aggregation the entity chooses for its risk adjustment.

Key point: The LIC uses the same triangle techniques as the regulatory reserve, but measures risk on the entity's own basis and discloses it through a confidence level, together with a claims development triangle of up to 10 years.
04

Self-assessment

Choose one answer per question: you will see right away whether it is correct and why. At the end, check your score. Nothing is stored or sent.

1. Which component is not part of the liability for incurred claims?
2. Under the PAA, when may the entity leave the LIC undiscounted?
3. What does paragraph 119 require about the risk adjustment?
4. How far back, at most, must the claims development disclosure go?
5. What is the fundamental difference between the IFRS 17 risk adjustment and the CNSF risk margin?
05

Readings

Primary sources and reference texts, all publicly accessible at the time of publication.

On actuaria.mx

PreviousReserves in MexicoBack toIBNR and reserving mini-courses